Thursday, May 01, 2008

Democrat Math Does Not Add Up


According to a current AP story:
Obama now leads in the delegate count overall 1735.5 to 1597.5 for Clinton. A candidate needs 2,025 delegates to win the nomination. About 230 superdelegates remain undecided, and about 60 more will be selected at state party conventions and meetings throughout the spring.
Hence, there are 290 delegates/superdelegate still to be awarded. The problem is that Obama needs 289.5 votes to win the Democratic nomination and Mrs. Clinton needs 427.5. There's no way Obama is gong to win all the delegates/superdelegates and there are not enough there for Mrs. Clinton to win the nomination.

In order for either to win, a large number of superdelegates are going to need to switch sides. The math points to a brokered convention in Denver.

No comments: